{"id":647,"date":"2022-03-08T11:58:50","date_gmt":"2022-03-08T11:58:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/intrevo.creare-siteweb.ro\/?p=647"},"modified":"2022-03-25T10:55:56","modified_gmt":"2022-03-25T10:55:56","slug":"africa-atractivitate-versus-volatilitate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/intrevo.ro\/en\/africa-atractivitate-versus-volatilitate\/","title":{"rendered":"Africa \u2013 atractivitate versus volatilitate"},"content":{"rendered":"

Outlook<\/strong><\/em><\/h4>\n

The demographic dynamics, diversified natural resources and higher economic resilience than other emerging markets are some of the major advantages of the African continent. Nevertheless, Africa is facing serious shortages and challenges, such as political instability, poor infrastructure,\u00a0 limited\u00a0 access\u00a0 to\u00a0 finance,\u00a0 lack\u00a0 of\u00a0 electricity\u00a0 and\u00a0 technological\u00a0 development, development gaps between regions and high dependence on climate change. However, Africa\u2019s economic potential will continue to atract biggest foreign investments in the coming decades, compared to other emerging markets.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Africa este un continent al contrastelor. \u00cen ciuda uria\u0219elor resurse de care dispune, mult timp s-a considerat c\u0103 nu este un loc favorabil dezvolt\u0103rii unui mediu de afaceri s\u0103n\u0103tos \u0219i predictibil, fiind caracterizat\u0103 de multiple riscuri \u0219i eficien\u021b\u0103 redus\u0103. \u00cen ultimii ani, Africa s-a situat \u00eens\u0103 pe primele 5 locuri \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te <\/span>atractivitatea economic\u0103 <\/span>pentru investitori, numeroase corpora\u021bii interna\u021bionale fiind prezente pe continent. Africa este un continent \u00een plin\u0103 expansiune, care va oferi oportunit\u0103\u021bi din ce \u00een ce mai diversificate pentru viitor \u0219i care va dob\u00e2ndi o relevan\u021b\u0103 economic\u0103 din ce \u00een ce mai mare la nivel global.<\/span><\/p>\n

Unul dintre principalele avantaje (dar \u0219i provoc\u0103ri) economice ale continentului african \u00eel constituie <\/span>dinamica demografic\u0103<\/span>. Av\u00e2nd una dintre cele mai tinere popula\u021bii din lume (\u00een multe \u021b\u0103ri, media de v\u00e2rst\u0103 este sub 20 de ani), se estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 Africa va \u00eenregistra cea mai mare rat\u0103 de cre\u0219tere demografic\u0103 la nivel global p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2050. Potrivit unui studiu efectuat in 2015 de Na\u021biunile Unite, \u00een valori nominale, din cele 2,4 miliarde de persoane estimate a se ad\u0103uga popula\u021biei globale \u00een intervalul 2015 \u2013 2050, 1,3 miliarde se vor na\u0219te pe continentul african. For\u021ba de munc\u0103 african\u0103 o va dep\u0103\u0219i pe cea european\u0103 \u0219i asiatic\u0103. Ponderea factorului demografic \u00een dezvoltarea economic\u0103 este \u00een cre\u0219tere, popula\u021bia african\u0103 t\u00e2n\u0103r\u0103, utilizatoare de tehnologii de ultim\u0103 genera\u021bie, fiind din ce \u00een ce mai implicat\u0103 \u00een afaceri \u0219i politic\u0103.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Sporirea popula\u021biei \u0219i a veniturilor \/ familie au dus la <\/span>dezvoltarea clasei de\u00a0 mijloc<\/span>,\u00a0 transform\u00e2nd Africa \u00eentr-una dintre cele mai mari pie\u021be ale viitorului,\u00a0 cu\u00a0 o\u00a0 cre\u0219tere anual\u0103 a PIB-ului la nivelul continentului de peste 5% \u00een ultimii 15 ani.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Resursele naturale diversificate <\/span>reprezint\u0103 un alt factor de atractivitate al Africii. <\/span>Continentul <\/span>are o palet\u0103 extrem de variat\u0103 de resurse, regenerabile \u0219i neregenerabile, \u00eens\u0103 neuniform distribuite \u0219i aflate \u00een stadii diferite de dezvoltare, o propor\u021bie semnificativ\u0103 fiind \u00eenc\u0103 slab exploatat\u0103. De asemenea, Africa dispune de un poten\u021bial semnificativ pentru dezvoltarea agriculturii, ceea ce \u00eei poate permite s\u0103 joace un rol important \u00een asigurarea securit\u0103\u021bii alimentare la nivel mondial.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Indicele pre\u021bului, pe tipuri de resurse \/ materii prime la nivel mondial \u2013 valori lunare Ian 2011 \u2013 Ian 2016.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00cen ultimii ani, <\/span>rezilien\u021ba economic\u0103 <\/span>a <\/span>Africii<\/span> <\/a>a crescut, ceea ce o distinge de alte pie\u021be emergente. Multe \u021b\u0103ri africane au reu\u0219it s\u0103 men\u021bin\u0103 cre\u0219terea economic\u0103 \u00een 2014 \u0219i 2015, \u00een ciuda sc\u0103derii pre\u021bului petrolului \u0219i al altor materii prime, a izbucnirii epidemiei de Ebola \u0219i \u00eenmul\u021birii atacurilor unor grupuri teroriste de sorginte islamic\u0103 precum Boko Haram (Africa de Vest) \u0219i Al-Shabaab (Somalia). Acest lucru se datoreaz\u0103 \u00een mare parte diversific\u0103rii economiei, prin dezvoltarea industriilor non-extractive, a tehnologiei, serviciilor \u0219i\u00a0 produc\u021biei,\u00a0 ceea\u00a0 ce\u00a0 a\u00a0 determinat reducerea dependen\u021bei de exploatarea resurselor naturale.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dezvoltarea institu\u021biilor democratice <\/span>\u0219i reformele politice au dus la cre\u0219terea stabilit\u0103\u021bii \u0219i reducerea corup\u021biei \u00een multe state africane, cre\u00e2nd condi\u021bii favorabile pentru integrare regional\u0103 \u0219i dezvoltarea investi\u021biilor.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Africa nu este \u00eens\u0103 lipsit\u0103 de riscuri \u0219i provoc\u0103ri<\/span>, multe dintre acestea generate de propriile vulnerabilit\u0103\u021bi. Schimb\u0103rile sociale majore \u0219i rapide, ca de exemplu procesul accelerat de urbanizare \u0219i ruptura de comunit\u0103\u021bile \u0219i valorile tradi\u021bionale, au determinat polarizarea societ\u0103\u021bii, cre\u0219terea\u00a0 gradului\u00a0 de\u00a0 s\u0103r\u0103cie\u00a0 \u0219i\u00a0 a\u00a0 \u0219omajului,\u00a0 \u00een\u00a0 special\u00a0 \u00een\u00a0 r\u00e2ndul\u00a0 tinerilor.\u00a0 De\u0219i\u00a0 dinamic\u0103, dezvoltarea economic\u0103 nu \u021bine pasul cu ritmul de cre\u0219tere a popula\u021biei. Depinde de factorii deciden\u021bi \u0219i de politicile investi\u021bionale ca avantajul demografic din \u021b\u0103rile africane s\u0103 nu se transforme \u00eentr-un risc social major: concentrarea cre\u0219terii popula\u021biei \u00eentr-unele dintre cele mai s\u0103race \u021b\u0103ri ale globului va face din ce \u00een ce mai dificil\u0103 eradicarea s\u0103r\u0103ciei \u0219i a inegalit\u0103\u021bii sociale, combaterea\u00a0 foametei\u00a0 \u0219i\u00a0 a\u00a0 malnutri\u021biei,\u00a0 furnizarea\u00a0 serviciilor\u00a0 minime\u00a0 de\u00a0 s\u0103n\u0103tate\u00a0 \u0219i\u00a0 educa\u021bie, consolidarea unei pie\u021be a muncii care s\u0103 r\u0103spund\u0103 nevoilor \u00een cre\u0219tere ale \u021b\u0103rilor africane.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Infrastructura inadecvat\u0103 <\/span>sau inexistent\u0103 \u00een multe regiuni, <\/span>accesul limitat la finan\u021bare, lipsa energiei electrice \u0219i a tehnologiilor <\/span>sunt c\u00e2teva dintre dificult\u0103\u021bile cu care se confrunt\u0103 economia african\u0103, cu impact negativ asupra investi\u021biilor str\u0103ine. <\/span>Decalajele de dezvoltare <\/span>\u00eentre regiuni au devenit din ce \u00een ce mai evidente \u00een ultimii ani. Resursele primare joac\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 un rol <\/span>esen\u021bial \u00een majoritatea economiilor africane, motiv pentru care sc\u0103derea pre\u021burilor materiilor prime la nivel global a afectat echilibrul economic al multor \u021b\u0103ri de pe continentul african.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Dependen\u021ba\u00a0 de\u00a0 schimb\u0103rile\u00a0 climatice<\/span>,\u00a0 precum\u00a0 \u0219i\u00a0 <\/span>exploatarea\u00a0 excesiv\u0103\u00a0 \u0219i\u00a0 neglijent\u0103\u00a0 a resurselor<\/span>, care duce la distrugerea unor ecosisteme unice \u00een lume, sunt de asemenea factori care influen\u021beaz\u0103 dezvoltarea economic\u0103 \u0219i social\u0103 a Africii. \u00cen prezent, aproape un milion de copii din Africa de est \u0219i de sud sufer\u0103 de malnutri\u021bie acut\u0103 sever\u0103 din cauza secetei care afecteaz\u0103 continentul, iar ONU estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 aproximativ 14 de milioane de oameni din sudul Africii ar putea fi afecta\u021bi de foamete \u00een cursul acestui an.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u00cen ciuda unor progrese evidente \u00een domeniul bunei guvernan\u021be, <\/span>instabilitatea politic\u0103 <\/span>se men\u021bine \u00een unele state africane, ceea ce se traduce \u00een institu\u021bii slabe \u0219i corup\u021bie endemic\u0103. Afilierea la anumite familii \u0219i loialitatea fa\u021b\u0103 de acestea sunt adesea mai puternice dec\u00e2t raporturile institu\u021bionale,\u00a0 iar\u00a0 conflictele\u00a0 determinate\u00a0 de\u00a0 accesul\u00a0 la\u00a0 resurse\u00a0 \u0219i\u00a0 distribuirea\u00a0 acestora\u00a0 \u00eentre diferitele grupuri sociale r\u0103m\u00e2n o practic\u0103 actual\u0103. Riscurile asociate proceselor electorale din unele state din estul \u0219i vestul Africii vor persista \u00een 2016, fiind posibile mi\u0219c\u0103ri sociale \u0219i violen\u021be. De asemenea, multe \u021b\u0103ri au dezechilibre economice majore (deficit fiscal, deficit de cont curent, grad de \u00eendatorare \u00een cre\u0219tere), care le fac \u0219i mai vulnerabile la \u0219ocurile externe, determin\u00e2nd cre\u0219terea infla\u021biei \u0219i sc\u0103derea \u00eencrederii investitorilor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cu\u00a0 toate\u00a0 acestea,\u00a0 <\/span>poten\u021bialul\u00a0 incontestabil\u00a0 al\u00a0 continentului\u00a0 african<\/span>,\u00a0 reflectat\u00a0 \u00een\u00a0 cre\u0219terea economic\u0103, va continua s\u0103 atrag\u0103 \u00een deceniile urm\u0103toare cele mai mari investi\u021bii str\u0103ine directe, comparativ cu alte pie\u021be emergente. Investi\u021biile vor fi stimulate de cre\u0219terea cererii de consum: se <\/span>estimeaz\u0103 <\/span><\/a>c\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2030 \u021b\u0103rile africane cu cea mai mare popula\u021bie (ex. Nigeria sau Africa de Sud) vor cheltui 2,2 mii de miliarde de dolari pe bunuri de larg consum, reprezent\u00e2nd aproximativ 3% din consumul la nivel mondial. \u00cen cazul \u00een care pre\u021burile materiilor prime se stabilizeaz\u0103, chiar dac\u0103 nu vor cre\u0219te, <\/span>Banca Mondial\u0103<\/span> <\/a>prevede o m\u0103rire constant\u0103 a PIB-ului Africii \u00een perioada urm\u0103toare \u2013 4,2% \u00een 2016 \u0219i 4,7% \u00een 2017-2018.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Perspective The demographic dynamics, diversified natural resources and higher economic resilience than other emerging markets are some of the major advantages of the African continent. Nevertheless, Africa is facing serious shortages and challenges, such as political instability, poor infrastructure,\u00a0 limited\u00a0 access\u00a0 to\u00a0 finance,\u00a0 lack\u00a0 of\u00a0 electricity\u00a0 and\u00a0 technological\u00a0 development, development gaps between regions and high …<\/p>\n

Africa \u2013 atractivitate versus volatilitate<\/span> Read More »<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-647","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-africa"],"yoast_head":"\nAfrica - atractivitate versus volatilitate - Intrevo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/intrevo.ro\/en\/africa-atractivitate-versus-volatilitate\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Africa - atractivitate versus volatilitate - Intrevo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Perspective The demographic dynamics, diversified natural resources and higher economic resilience than other emerging markets are some of the major advantages of the African continent. 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